Agreed, I’d be happy if the GOP broken even in Senate races. I’m more optimistic about the House.
Breaking even not only will not happen, we will be lucky if ALL we lose is 5 seats in the Senate and 15 in the House. Thanks to dreadful recruitment on the Senate side, we have only 1 remotely competitive race we’re running against a Dem incumbent (LA-Landrieu), and we’re trailing. They could actually win TEN of ours. It’s just that bad.
Last week, I did an analysis of where the competitive and at-risk seats are:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2074544/posts?page=25#25