I disagree. I think the Black turnout for Obama will be close to 100% (if not above) with 97-98% voting for him. He represents such a historic moment for them regardless of what he says or does they will support him. This support alone makes states that are typically battleground states very tough to predict.
If McCain/Palin can take OH., VA., and FL., which I think they will. It will come down to CO., NV., and NM.
You think blacks will vote for him solely because he’s black, regardless of his lack of experience. Right?
I see a twist on that: Blacks will vote for him because they will be coerced with peer pressure and fear of social fallout if they resist, just as many in university environments or teachers’ unions are pressured.
That being said, a few brave souls will close the curtain and do the right thing for America.