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To: nikos1121
OH and IN should be safe for McCain. VA and especially CO have me concerned, and I think this is where the election is won or lost.
8 posted on 09/10/2008 7:05:57 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: CatOwner

> VA and especially CO have me concerned, and I think this is where the election is won or lost <

I don’t see the Dhimm’s taking VA. At most, they may improve on Kerry’s 2004 performance by a point or so.

Let’s remember that Jim Webb won VA in 2006 by a mere 5000-vote margin. I believe that slim victory was made possible only by his support among four groups that would otherwise have voted for George Allen:

1. Coal miners and other mountaineers of SW Virginia, to whom Webb appealed as a fellow Scots-Irish descendant. Given Obama’s “anti-coal” remarks, however, and given that Hillary carried this area easily, it’s hard to see how Obama does well in the Virginia mountains.

2. Vietnamese refugees in northern Virginia, who were wooed non-stop by Webb’s Vietnamese wife. But Obama and his wife have zero appeal to this group — maybe less than zero!

3. Asian Indians (Hindus) all over the Old Dominion, who were offended by Allen’s “maccaca” reference. Some of them might look favorably on Obama as a fellow man of color. But then McCain has an adopted daughter — with very dark skin — from Bangladesh. And it’s hard to see much Hindu enthusiasm for a man whose father was a Muslim. Advantage McCain.

4. Navy and Marine Corps active duty personnel and vets, plus their families, in the Hampton Roads area. A signficant percentage of them voted for Webb due almost entirely to his Marine Corps record. They’ll also swing heavily to McCain, likewise for his Navy service.

So Obama may as well stop buying ads and paying staff in VA. Otherwise, it will be money down the drain.


45 posted on 09/10/2008 7:48:43 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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To: CatOwner

Yes... CO is a key unless McCain can pick up one elsewhere.

He needs FL, OH, IN. I think he’ll get that appalachian belt...I’m hoping Penn.


60 posted on 09/10/2008 8:10:03 AM PDT by nikos1121 (Mr. Smith is coming back to Washington in the name of Sarah Palin.)
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