The McCain camp's "Magic Numbers" are roughly:
92% GOP
18% RAT
45% Indie
If we can capture more than 45% of the Indies, or can motivate more of the GOP base to come out than what we initially predicted, we won't need as many RAT voters. Sarah Palin has helped tremendously on all fronts.
The campaign must proceed as if Hussein is up by 15 points. We need every toss-up state and we need to work to turn blue leaning states into red states.
I believe that to be a gross understatement of the facts. If you go to the Hillary Forum, you will get a better picture of how they feel. My best guess is 60% of Hillary's Gals are Sarah's now.