[JohnnyZ]

I am expecting McCain to pick up a majority of the states that Bush lost by 5% or less in 2004.

I can see that. I think the first four are really in play:

Wisconsin 0.38%
New Hampshire 1.37
Pennsylvania 2.50
Michigan 3.42
Minnesota 3.48
Oregon 4.16

Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico are in trouble, though.

[fortheDeclaration]

Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, New Mexico are in trouble, though.

I think we will take 3 out of 4.

We will probably lose Iowa.