But Rossi could win, which would be both hugh and series.
“McCain will not win Washington if the race is close nationally. I’m not terribly confident about Oregon, either.
But Rossi could win, which would be both hugh and series.”
The trend is against Obama. I know McCain isn’t likely to win Washington, but it is interesting that he is breathing down Obama’s neck in a state that SHOULD be a gimme for the Democrats in a Democrat year.
And if its close in WA, then Palin might pull Rossi over the finish line even if McCain loses the state himself.
If McCain carries OR and WA, he would probably be extremely competitive in CA (IIRC, President Bush actually did better in CA than in WA in 2004) and, more to the point, McCain would be on the cusp of 400 electoral votes. If he carries OR and WA, there’s no way that he doesn’t carry NV, CO or probably NM, and it would be hard to believe that he wouldn’t also carry WI, MN, IA, NJ, NH, PA, OH, MI, FL and VA.
That being said, I think the demographics of OR and WA give Obama the advantage, but if Obama has to campaign there it will make it even more difficult for him to carry Rust Belt states that are slipping away from him (or the Upper Midwest states of WI, MN and IA that combined to give President Bush 49%, for that matter).