500 voters is a very small sample size, even for state by state voting. Also, a weekend and Sunday poll.
Watch the trends folks. Every poll is moving towards McCain/Palin big time the last few days.
Florida will NOT go for Obama. Neither will Ohio. And now PA and MI are looking possible for McCain.
To me, I think who voters will pick Nov 4th comes down to this. When they are in the voting booth, and have to finally pull that lever.....
Do I go with the candidate that has experience, especially foreign policy credentials.
Or do I go with the “new guy” who talks a good game, talks about change, but doesn’t have any experience.
In the end, the majority of the voters will vote McCain for experience alone. And Palin will pull in a ton of crossover voters and Reagan democrats.
Just look at the ABC polls which shows a 20% swing of white female voters. How many millions of votes is that? Let me tell you...
122 million people voted in 2004
41% of the votes were cast by white women (50 million)
20% of 50 million = 10 million votes
So according to the ABC poll, McCain experienced a 10 million vote swing among a single demographic.
That is HUGE, considering Bush won in 2004 by less than 4 million votes.
I’d much rather be in McCain position today, than Obama’s.
Wouldn’t you?
Keep an eye on Wisconsin. Last Rasmussen polls shows Barry’s 11-point lead in Wisconsin is now down to four.