fyi
Wonder when their bet/odds re Bin Biden dropping out will pick up traction.
There is no precedent for any VP dropping out doing any good. The only precedent is the Eagleton model, and we know how that turned out. OTOH, if they want to do that so they can blame the messiah’s loss on a rich white man, that might be fine.
Hah Hah! I was posting over at Intrade last night when the swing was more modest, and to top it off, I had predicted that there would be a swing.
2008.PRES.McCAIN
John McCain to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 48.0 48.4 48.0 464561 +4.5
2008.PRES.OBAMA
Barack Obama to win 2008 US Presidential Election M Trade 51.5 51.6 51.6 332649 -5.0
I don’t expect the Biden contract to gain much traction because Intrade has a heavy pro-Obama bias — kinda obvious when the polls show a 10 point lead and Intrade still has Obama 3 points ahead.
Note the difference in price and volume between Biden and Palin withdrawal contracts. This difference could conceivably be used to quantify such a bias.
Sarah Palin to be withdrawn as Republican VP nominee/candidate
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
PALIN.VP.WITHDRAWN
Sarah Palin to be withdrawn as Republican VP nominee/candidate before 2008 presidential election M Trade 4.8 4.9 5.0 15510 +0.9
Joe Biden to be withdrawn as Democratic VP candidate
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
BIDEN.VP.WITHDRAWN
Joe Biden to be withdrawn as Democratic VP candidate before 2008 presidential election M Trade 3.0 3.5 4.2 110 0