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Incorrect-
McCain got a HUGE Bounce 17 points compared to previous LV Gallup Poll.

many other older LV polls show Obama ahead

some past LV polls from RCP
USAT/Gallup LV (09/05-09/07) 54-44 M+10 (the one we’re discussing)
USAT/Gallup LV (8/30 - 8/31) 43-50 O+7 (previous Gallup LV poll)
ABC/Wash Post LV (8/19 - 8/22) 45-49 O+4
Quinnipiac LV (8/12 - 8/17) 41-46 O+5

Only one previous LV poll from 8/14 to 8/16 from unreliable Zogby has shown a MCC lead of greater than +1

Having said that best to be humble, work hard and use the +4 RV lead.

Well time does fly. I suppose I like to remember the polls that we are ahead in. :-) I may have mixed in a couple of registered voter polls. Nonetheless, I knew there was at least 1 Gallup poll of 'likely voters' that had McCain in the lead by 4% that they took a month and 1/2 ago.

July 28, 2008
Gallup/USA Today Poll: McCain +4
Posted by TOM BEVAN | E-Mail This | Permalink | Email Author

This one should set the tongues wagging:

Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among "likely" voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of "registered" voters. By both measures, the race is tight.
The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2008/07/gallupusa_today_poll_mccain_4.html