Folks,
Hold your horses here.
This poll shows only REGISTERED voters. A very inaccurate way of gauging voter sentiment. LIKELY voters are the more accurate estimate.
Secondly, Let’s not forget that the popular vote counts for little. It is the ELECTORAL VOTE that counts as the year 2000 election has shown us.
I’m sad to inform you that McCain is still BEHIND in the electoral votes and that’s what counts.
More work needs to be done.
and thats only because they are not doing any polls on those until the bump settles after conventions, but then i expect there will be a massive shift, somethings happening out there, i can feel it.
Maybe we just needed to put something there to show Bambi as the weasel he is and it looks like its happening.
Strongly agreed!
Electoral is what matters! The work has just begun folks!
This is what you call a good start.
Things can turn on a dime.
Do NOT get complacent.
We all need to do our part, and keep it up right up to election day, because the dems are going to pull out all the stops.
“This poll shows only REGISTERED voters. A very inaccurate way of gauging voter sentiment. LIKELY voters are the more accurate estimate.”
Absolutely, positively true. The thing that is fascinating thought is that this is a weekend poll and repubs typically poll horribly during the weekend.
“Secondly, Let’s not forget that the popular vote counts for little. It is the ELECTORAL VOTE that counts as the year 2000 election has shown us.”
This is also true. However, the national poll is quite different for the Presidential race. I recall reading that if the difference is something greater than 2% on election night and that leader has over 50%, it is almost statistically impossible for the person leading the race to lose due to the Electoral College. It’s kind of like a rising tide lifting all ships.
Of course, the above is based on statistics...there would still be the small chance that he could lose the EC.
Can you give me a link to the post-convention state polls that demonstrate this?
Every electoral total poll that I have seen is backwards looking by a sizable amount depending upon how recent each state's poll is. They tell you how things were not necessarily how thing are. They are not going to measure dramatic short term moves. Give the electoral total type polls another couple of weeks for the latest events to work there way into the results.
Looking at your recent posting history -- are you a sleeper troll?
That is true, but it's also true that state polls are not done daily like Gallup or Rasmussen. Will should start to see the shift next week.
I also agree that more work needs to be done.
I suggest, however, Freepers ignore the doom & gloom prophets that I suspect doesn't have the McCain/Palin interest in their mind.