Posted on 09/07/2008 12:30:54 AM PDT by libh8er
UTICA, New York - Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin left St. Paul, Minnesota, with a smallish bounce overall and some energy in key demographic groups, as the race for the presidency enters a key stage and voters begin to tune in to the contest, the latest Zogby Interactive poll finds.
Data from this poll is available here The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure.
The Ticket Horserace
9-5/6
8-29/30
McCain-Palin
49.7%
47.1%
Obama-Biden
45.9%
44.6%
Others/Not sure
4.4%
8.3%
In the two-way contest in which just McCain and Obama were mentioned in the question, the result was slightly different, with McCain leading, 48.8% to 45.7%.
One-on-One Horserace
9-5/6
McCain
48.8%
Obama
45.7%
Others/Not sure
5.5%
In a Zogby Interactive survey conducted last weekend, just after the McCain announcement that Palin would join his ticket, McCain Palin won 47.1% support, while Obama/Biden won 44.6% support.
The interactive survey of 2,312 likely voters nationwide was conducted Sept. 5-6, 2008, and carries a margin of error of +/- 2.1 percentage points.
Pollster John Zogby: "Clearly, Palin is helping the McCain ticket. She has high favorability numbers, and has unified the Republican Party. The striking thing here in this poll is that McCain has pulled ahead among Catholics by double-digits. On the other hand, Palin is not helping with likely voting women who are not aligned with either political party. The undecided independent women voters decreased this week from 15% to 7%, but those women went to Obama. Palin is also helping among men, conservatives, notably with suburban and rural voters, and with frequent Wal-Mart shoppers, who tend to be "values" voters who like a good value for their money."
McCain's favorability rating increased from 50% favorable last week to 57% favorable now, a significant jump that indicates the GOP convention was a success. Among independent voters, 61% now have a favorable impression of him, compared to just 49% who said the same a week ago.
Nearly half - 49% - said they had a favorable opinion of Barack Obama, while 50% they had a negative impression of him. Among independent voters, 47% gave him favorable marks, compared to 46% who said the same thing last week.
Among the vice presidential candidates, 54% said they now hold a favorable view of Palin, while 42% hold an unfavorable view. While 49% have a favorable opinion of Joe Biden, 47% hold an unfavorable view of him.
Just one week ago, 23% told Zogby that they did not know enough about Palin to make a judgment about whether they held a favorable or unfavorable view of her - but this most recent survey shows just 4% were unfamiliar with her - another indication that likely voters paid attention to the GOP convention this week, which won the highest television viewership numbers ever earned by an American political convention.
-Z-
Zogby International was the most accurate pollster in every one of the last three presidential election cycles, and continues to perfect its telephone and interactive methodologies using its own live operator, in-house call center in Upstate New York, and its own secure servers for its online polling projects.
In the 2004 presidential election, not only was Zogby's telephone polling right on the money, its interactive polling also nailed the election as well. In 2006, the Zogby Interactive online polling was on the money in 17 of 18 U.S. Senate races (the 18th was within the margin of error) a record of accuracy that is unmatched in the industry - as no other leading firm even attempts to poll statewide political races using an interactive methodology for public consumption.
Wasn’t Zogby off really bad last election?
Oh well..I’ll take it!!
According to this poll, Biden better start looking for a way to dump Obama from the ticket.
The media’s going to be kicking themselves for crawling all over Wasilla, Alaska when they should be camped out at Fort Marcy Park.
In a Poll with a 10%+ Democrat polling bias, not including BRADLEY EFFECT.
This is LANDSLIDE TERRITORY, coming this early.
And the lamentations of the liberal Man-women when they begin to realize it will be a SIGHT TO BEHOLD. The viciousness and hatred of the left will know no boundry.
That means blowout for McCain...
Those favorability ratings are interesting: McCain 57% favorable, Obama 49%. That’s a big advantage for McCain. If one accounts for the Zogby special sauce that favors Dims, it’s likely a huge advantage for McCain.
I hope you are both right, but I still sense a tight race, and Zogby is the only poll that has McCain up at this point.
Except CBS has them tied. Gallup and Rasmussen still have OHB ahead.
We won’t see the real convention bounce until Tuesday or Wednesday.
IIRC that CBS poll was “adults” and not even registered voters
I think it will be over by 805pm Eastern Time...and it will leak on the West Coast.
Obama peaked right before his Germany speech.....and Palin is still rising.
20% of Americans are very conservtive. 40% are somewhat conservative.
Appeal to conservatives and Republicans have it in the bag. The 57% of the voters for McCain sounds right on course!
What about coattails for the House and Senate?
If Palin does a good job and doesn't make any major mistakes then Obama is going to lose big.
We should be prepared for the MSM doing their best to bias the questions at the debate to favor Biden and make Palin look uninformed.
Are CBS and Gallup from after Palin and McCain’s speech?
It’s very hard to judge how effective polls are. Only a tiny percentage of people actully answer their phone nowadays. Even the pollsters admit it’s getting harder to predict with each election.
That being said, I think Obama’s in deep trouble.
” Obama peaked right before his Germany speech.....” ( and Palin is still rising. ) with MSM’s help with the backlash effect..
Let’s wait before we make that kind of prediction.lol
We are still on a convention and Palin high, and emotions might be talking. Don’t get me wrong I hope what you say happens.
There is still the debate with Biden, and Palin has to go against the media and Biden. If she says ONE THING that’s not “perfect” they will try and make her look a bafoon.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
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