Scott and another pollster were on with Bill O. last night and said to not expect to see real convention results until Wednesday of next week.
Thanks for the info on RAS. After the DEM Convention Obama’s bounce did not happen until about noon on Labor Day, the Monday after his speech.
Fact is Obama is only up 46 to 45, before McCain’s bounce.
Let’s compare this with the Obama bounce. He saw NOTHING until MONDAY, 4 days after his acceptance speech and a further increase on Tuesday which brought him to +8 over McCain in the Gallup and + 5 in the Rasmussen.. It was Wed when his numbers began to drop and if I have this right that also includes the Gallup Poll.
Rasmussen likely voters, Gallup Registered voters. Likely voters far more accurate then Registered only, factor in Bradley factor and it looks like McCain up by about 4-6 points. Of course it’s a snapshot and it’s a weekend poll which always seems to favor libs. Even Rove mentioned this on O’Reilly last Monday evening and said then he expected the Obama lead to begin fading by Tues or Wed of last week and he was dead on.
If I understand the methodology, Rassmussen polls over 3 days. The Wednesday polling was almost all completed before Palin’s speech. The Thursday polling before McCain’s speech, which we now know had more viewers than Obama’s. So we have 2 days of Palin and one of McCain. It also usually takes a couple more days for it all to sink in. I’m sure Rasmussen is correct when he says wait till next week.
Why? That makes no sense.