Sorry that chart I copy and pasted didn’t post right. Oh wells F Gallup!!!!
Sun Aug 24: 45 - 45
Mon Aug 25: 45 - 45
Tue Aug 26: 46 - 44 McCain
Wed Aug 27: 47 - 44 Obama
Thu Aug 28: 54 - 36 Obama
Fri Aug 29: 47 - 42 Obama
Sat Aug 30: 47 - 44 Obama
You know, there’s no doubt in my mind that had this been McCain giving an acceptance speech Thursday, with these numbers following, there would be no talk of a bounce.
No sir, they’d be talking about how he had destroyed a good amount of momentum that the previous nights’ speakers had garnered for him and that it was obviously a sign of a backlash against McCain’s message.
The damn media is so transparent...
How in the blazes do these numbers average out to a 6 point lead? The only way I can figure is if the sample size on Aug 28 was much smaller than on Aug 29 and Aug 30.
If the sample sizes were more even, it would be closer to a 9 point lead. But maybe Gallup is downplaying this because once the next 3-day rolling average is announced for Aug 29-31, figure on that number being close to 3 points. I don't think Gallup wants to report a 6 point swing in McCain's favor in one day.
Though I’d like to think that those Thursday numbers are from Obamabi’s speech and the fall the next day is all about Palin, I think that the Tuhursday pol is a big, fat outlier. I’m a little surprised they published those results. Nobody goes from a three point gap to an 18 point gap in 24 hours.