[1-Eagle]

Rasmussen already has him back down to 3.4% and his Electoral college advantage is down to a new low of 10 EV’s. This is not good coming out of his convention. Horrible, actually.

[LS]

"The EC has him back down to 10." That's the key. It's really down to five or six states, depending on the mix: OH, FL, VA have to go to McCain. Good news? He's ahead in four of the last six OH polls, split the last two FL polls. I personally think he has these states pretty safe. VA close, but also his.

The other three are CO (McCain leads in latest, but it's been very close); NV (Obama still has a 5 point lead there) and either NM or NH (both Obama in the latest).

McCain can win with NV and CO, or lose NV and win with NM and NH. But he can't lose all three and win, because he isn't going to take MI or NJ, as much as Freepers keep posting that it's possible