Intrade.com is showing BIG movement toward Palin. Intrade.com is usually right.
Intrade is extremely reactive to news events. Don’t use it as a valid predictor.
That said, I’m somewhat leery of this, unless Palin turns out to be a gifted Young Reagan, who can go toe to toe with not only Biden, but Obama himself. I would have preferred a woman with more heft, like Rice, but McCain probably saw something he really liked. I trust his judgement here.
I suspect Palin will have a screen presence that will make everyone in the Obama campaign do a quick STFU.
Best,
Chris
How is Intrade.com right if they FOLLOW publicly published information? It's stupid. It's a lagging or at best coincident indicator.