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Gallup Daily: Obama Moves Ahead, 48% to 42%
Gallup ^ | 8/28/2008 | Frank Newport

Posted on 08/28/2008 10:18:30 AM PDT by comebacknewt

The latest three-day Gallup Poll Daily tracking average (Aug. 25-27) is directly coincident with the first three days of the Democratic National Convention in Denver, and is no doubt beginning to reflect the typical convention "bounce" that Gallup has observed in most party conventions in recent decades.

There is a lag of sorts involved in the daily tracking; interviewing is conducted in most parts of the country before that evening's high-focus speeches have taken place. Thus, the current three-day average would reflect any impact of Monday night's speech by Michelle Obama, and Tuesday night's speech by Hillary Clinton, but would not completely reflect Wednesday night's lineup of speakers, such as John Kerry, former President Bill Clinton, and vice presidential nominee Joe Biden, nor the appearance on stage at the end of the evening by Barack Obama himself.

(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008dncconvention; 2008polls; electionpresident; gallup; mccain; obama
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To: All

At first glance this looks like a normal bounce.

At second glance it looks a little stronger than normal because the 3 day tracker was even yesterday. That means a huge Obama night in the polling last night. It can probably be attributed more to the announcement of his “history making nomination” than to the speeches.


61 posted on 08/28/2008 11:06:08 AM PDT by Owen
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To: comebacknewt

The only way he’ll get a legitimate bounce is if they only poll the Denver delegates.


62 posted on 08/28/2008 11:06:11 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: 21stCenturyFreeThinker

“Maybe it’s just a diversion but Lieberman would definitely be transformative.”

Yeah, he’d transform from a possible winner to a definate loser.


63 posted on 08/28/2008 11:06:17 AM PDT by Grunthor (McCain! If he doesn't pick a liberal or pro-baby-murder VP.)
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To: Perdogg
"He’s not picking lieberman."

Do you realize how disappointed the "principled conservatives" are going to be if he doesn't pick Lieberman?

64 posted on 08/28/2008 11:06:18 AM PDT by Redleg Duke ("All gave some, and some gave all!")
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To: snarkytart
"I know. Why are people so damn paranoid, and freakin’ out?"

Many of them are afraid that McCain is going to lose, and, unfortunately, too many are afraid he is going to win.

65 posted on 08/28/2008 11:14:20 AM PDT by Redleg Duke ("All gave some, and some gave all!")
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To: comebacknewt
It isn't bounce you need to worry about:

It is boost that becomes a problem:

Hopefully, B.O. Plenty will get the former, and McCain the latter.

66 posted on 08/28/2008 11:19:13 AM PDT by ApplegateRanch (The Great Obamanation of Desolation, attempting to sit in the Oval Office, where he ought not..)
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To: Redleg Duke

With all the media love....the police throwing out abc journalists....lawyers trying to shut down Ayers ads.... NOBAMA should be 20-30 points ahead.


67 posted on 08/28/2008 11:20:17 AM PDT by Blue Turtle (I)
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To: comebacknewt

How long ‘til McCain concedes? < \sarcasm>


68 posted on 08/28/2008 11:44:44 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (Just say NObama!)
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To: Repeal 16-17
Rasmussen weighs by party ID, this will negate much of the convention bump detected by Gallup. Weighing by party ID forces polls to be very stable, since it will ignore Indies shifting to D as a result of the convention. Gallup detects that.

Looks like the last night was something like 53-40 for Obama, and the next two nights should be in the same range, at least. So, on Sat Gallup will show Obama with a double digit lead, almost certainly. Sad to say, but they appeared to put on a much more successfull convention than in 2004.

69 posted on 08/28/2008 11:53:40 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: ubaldus

How about the media report on both polls and let the People decide which they believe is the more legitimate poll?


70 posted on 08/28/2008 12:05:14 PM PDT by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: jveritas

Unreal, the dopes are buying all the lies and distortions coming out of Denver. The media will simply use the hurricane as an excuse to ignore the GOP Convention. Something is wrong if Rasmussen has it tied and the liberals at Gallup have it +6 fo the Messiah. Are the American people that stupid to buy this line of shit ?


71 posted on 08/28/2008 12:05:22 PM PDT by libscum (don't sit out- vote Mccain)
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To: ubaldus
I will be stunned if Obama isn't up double digits by Labor Day. It could happen as early as tomorrow. If his lead gets above 15, it will be extremely tough to overcome.

Looks like the American people are eating up the RAT garbage this year. It's not time to panic, but this is obviously not good news.

72 posted on 08/28/2008 12:17:42 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: comebacknewt

Amazing, the idiots are eating up all the RAT GARBAGE....The MEDIA has really driven this distortion of facts, they are soley responsible. Mccain finally closes the gap and goes ahead and all for naught because of the media coronation of the Messiah. Wait till the Nazi Media gets starts reporting the rsults of this poll. It will be non-stop face sucking.....


73 posted on 08/28/2008 12:24:03 PM PDT by libscum (don't sit out- vote Mccain)
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To: libscum
Don't give up the faith yet. We'll have our shot coming up soon. The MSM will do their best to point out our negatives and highlight our divisions, but we will get to speak directly to the American public all next week.

Also, keep this in mind about McCain. Agree or disagree with his policies, like him or hate him, he is a fighter and will battle every step of the way.

74 posted on 08/28/2008 12:44:34 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: comebacknewt

Keep in mind the 9 point berlin bounce.

These are push polls.


75 posted on 08/28/2008 12:50:15 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: libscum

No they are not that stupid and they are not going to elect Obama for President.


76 posted on 08/28/2008 12:55:06 PM PDT by jveritas (God Bless President Bush and our brave troops)
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To: longtermmemmory

Mccain needs to get his VP pick out tonight and blunt some of the Messiah worship by the Nazi Media. Looks like the RNC may postpone the convention if the hurricane threatens the Gulf Coast which is highly probable. The Lord Messiah’s lies from his enablers should immeditely countered by Mccain but the hurricane is going to be THE STORY THIS WEEKEND and into Tuesday. Too bad there are no tornado warnings for Denver tonight- They deserve it the lying stinking commies. !


77 posted on 08/28/2008 12:56:55 PM PDT by libscum (don't sit out- vote Mccain)
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

John Kerry never got a post-convention bounce:

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/president/2004-08-01-poll-kerry_x.htm


78 posted on 08/28/2008 1:48:30 PM PDT by jackmercer
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To: Dilbert San Diego

If we want a GOD-KING, Obama is our MAN-GOD.


79 posted on 08/28/2008 2:02:03 PM PDT by noah (noah)
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To: jackmercer

Not true..he did...it was 4 to 6 points. Someone posted a link yesterday.


80 posted on 08/28/2008 2:49:31 PM PDT by snarkytart
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