[cmsgop]

But if they are collectively biased for one reason or another, it won't be accurate. It certainly doesn't represent any kind of scientific poll.

Exactly my point

[justlurking]

Exactly my point

No, you said:

Your just scaring people with this. This is a really old map with old numbers.

No one that understands the clearly labeled source of the data has any reason to be scared. It's a collective interpretation of the polls, the campaign ads, and the public profile of the candidates by a small group of people. The interesting part is that their opinion is trending in favor of McCain, reflecting an improvement in his position.

But, it's certainly not a "really old map with old numbers". It was generated today. You can look at the InTrade site and check them yourself.