[buckeye12]

In the 2006 elections, the governor of MI won independents by exactly 17 points. Its not too far of a stretch to think that another dem could do the same.

[comebacknewt]

No, not too far a stretch to think it is possible. I'm just very skeptical that it is so far out of whack with every other pollster out there.

To win Michigan, McCain needs 55-60% of the White vote to go along with 8-10% of the black vote. Not an easy thing to do. That is why Barack is favored, but definitely not impossible.

Welcome to FR by the way.