[Jeff Head]

This indicates that they are going to pull back to the agreed upon cease fire lines (which allow for a buffer around the two provinces) and establish long term check points at the edge of those buffer zones.

My guess is, that due to the horrible precedent that Clinton established in attacking Serbia over Kosovo, and then the compounding of that mistake by Bush recognizing Kosovo, that Russia will push hard to get these two provinces completely independent of Georgia.

Such a move will give them strong footholds south of the Caucasus, with their Roksky Tunnel secure, and a secure port south of the Caucasus as well.

We will have to admit Georgia into NATO and build up their military strongly to counter, having our own or NATO military bases in Georgia proper to counter the bases Russia is sure to build in both provinces.

GEORGIA CONFLICT 2008

[CDB]

Jeff,

Your chronology is terrific! Many thanks. Belongs on mainstream TV, but, sadly, it lacks “famous Hollywood Stars” and gratuitous sex.

[wardaddy]

very reasonable realpolitk post ..again.

[SevenMinusOne]

We will have to admit Georgia into NATO and build up their military strongly to counter, having our own or NATO military bases in Georgia proper to counter the bases Russia is sure to build in both provinces.

This is where this is headed - Too a degree this was the case anyway (prior)....Now with Russia better positioned and in a much more front-line role... Ditto the latter of that for us / NATO.