[avacado]

"Actually, it’s 43.6% to 27.6%. "

How did you get those numbers?

I used the weighted sample of 851 registered voters.

Dems = 408/851 x 100 = 47.9%

Reps = 284/851 x 100 = 33.3%

[spacewarp]

I used the total number of surveyed folks.

So, we’re using the right numbers, but different sets from the result section.

Frankly, it’s ugly no matter how it works out.

It’s a shame that they’re allowed to do that.

I wonder if Perky Katie Couric is aware that Oregon is now VERY much in play and if the trend of the last few weeks continues, it will be red too. New poll today has Obambi up by 3. 48-45. A few weeks ago, he was up 53-38.

July 17:
Strong Dem (211)
Weak Dem (35)
Barely Dem (74)
Exactly tied (14)
Barely GOP (11)
Weak GOP (116)
Strong GOP (77)

July 22:
Strong Dem (207)
Weak Dem (35)
Barely Dem (70)
Exactly tied (27)
Barely GOP (18)
Weak GOP (98)
Strong GOP (83)

July 27
Strong Dem (197)
Weak Dem (49)
Barely Dem (46)
Exactly tied (51)
Barely GOP (21)
Weak GOP (83)
Strong GOP (91)

August 2
Strong Dem (197)
Weak Dem (46)
Barely Dem (73)
Exactly tied (13)
Barely GOP (44)
Weak GOP (68)
Strong GOP (97)

August 6
Strong Dem (185)
Weak Dem (58)
Barely Dem (46)
Exactly tied (13)
Barely GOP (44)
Weak GOP (95)
Strong GOP (97)

Today
Strong Dem (170)
Weak Dem (66)
Barely Dem (53)
Exactly tied (13)
Barely GOP (44)
Weak GOP (95)
Strong GOP (97)

It’s heading in the right direction. The barely dem states are MI, IN, NH, CO, NV and OR.
The tied state is VA
The barely repub states are NC, OH, ND, SD and MT

I spend time on http://www.electoral-vote.com

They get all the polls they can. They have an unbiased posting of information. They have very liberally biased commentary, but they’re really good about not letting their bias show in the polls.

Paul