Obama opens up leads in Florida, Colorado, and Minnesota (Rasmussen)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | July 23, 2008 | nwrep

[princeofdarkness]

McGovern had a 17 point lead over Nixon in 1972 around this time? My understanding was that McGovern was behind in all polls in that campaign cycle.

[TFMcGuire]

“This is worrying me as well.”

Don’t worry!

Pray hard and work hard. Get your anti-Obama or Democrat-exposing bumper stickers on you car. Help with Republican phone bank or walking. Don’t die quiet and we won’t die at all.

Hooyah!

[TNCMAXQ]

I think you are correct. McGovern never led Nixon. Nor did Carter ever have much of a lead over Reagan in 1980. At times it was close but once the conventions ended I seem to recall Reagan ahead at all times.

The only dramatic turnarounds in recent history were 1976 where Carter was more than 30 points ahead of Ford when the Demo convention ended, and 1988 when Dukakis was ahead of Bush by 17 even as the GOP convention opened. Ford of course lost by only 2 percent. The swing in favor of VP Bush was quite dramatic and he started gaining after his “points of light” acceptance speech went over quite well. At one point he actually led by 17, after the second disastrous debate for Dukakis. Then the Dem starting coming back but ran out of time, and lost by 7.

[Bob J]

Obama’s photo op to the mideast was bound to give him a bump. It will disappear when he returns.

[Luke21]

McCain is a horrible candidate. But he has natural advantages. He is a safe choice. The Dems who are mad at Obama have a guy that they are comfortable with. McCain is as much a Democrat as a Republican, so the usual hysterical charges that he's a “right winger” won't fly, and the Democrats know it. McCain eats up 70 yards of the political football field. While that's really crappy for die hards like me, who reside on the conservative five yard line, it's great for a general election run.

Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will decide this thing. If McCain holds Ohio, it's tough to see him losing. If Obama wins Ohio, and holds serve in the others, that's it.

[txrangerette]

I heard Sabato.

Carter won by 2.

After leading by 33.

And it was too close to call it that evening for certain.

The next morning was when it became very clear.

And this was after Nixon and Watergate...a positively low point for Republicans.

[Fred]

McCain is not going to win MN, so forget that state, the other 2 states are in play big time, IMHO McCain will win both..