Obama Leads McCain in Average of Electoral Vote Projection Sites

Freedom's Lighthouse ^ | July 12, 2008 | BrianinMO

[blogsforthompson.com]

A unique feature of Freedom's Lighthouse is the "Average of Electoral Vote Projections," which you will see updated daily at the top of the left sidebar (see table below). The table shows the ten sites that are regularly updating their Electoral Vote Projection for the Presidential Race. At the bottom of the table are averages for all the sites. There is an average that includes "tossups" and an average of the sites that do not include "tossups." Right now, Obama leads handily in both averages. Come back and check the table on a regular basis. It will be updated at least daily, and several times a day as changes are made on the various sites.

Average of Electoral Vote Projections
Site	McCain	Obama	Tssup
Election Projection	232	306	0
538.com	229	309	0
Electoral Vote.com	215	320	3
Real Clear Politics	163	238	137
Real Clear Politics - no tossups	234	304	0
Federal Review	208	296	34
Coldhearted- truth	245	293	0
270towin	154	235	149
Hedgehog Report	191	347	0
Election Junkie	232	306	0
AVERAGE	210	296	32
AVG. NO TOSSUP	227	311	0
Last Updated 7/12/08 7:50 AM CDT Freedom's Lighthouse.com

[DarthVader]

I think this data is useless by the time it is tabulated due to the dynamics and Obama’s plunge. It may not even favor him anymore today.

[Piquaboy]

How in the hell could anyone vote for this phony POS who is dumb as a damn post?

[SaintDismas]

Don’t forget the “Bradley” effect. Put together with his plunge and the PUMA organization (pissed off Hillary voters) and ‘saint happenin. He will not win.

[Piquaboy]

I sure do hope you are right. This country cannot stand to have this POS as CinC.

[Sooth2222]

Interesting Rasmussen numbers today ... unless all the Democrats are away on a vacation cruise somewhere.

(Without leaners: *tied*, with leaners: Obama up by one. This is with $5 gasoline and the stock and real estate markets going down the tubes. And not including the Bradley - Wilder effect. Tied. Amazing.)

[Osage Orange]

Yeah...he’s a post turtle.

[VOR78]

Easy.

I’d guess that many people still don’t know that much about Barack Obama. The media has done a great job of covering for him and of ensuring that all criticism of his positions is silenced. In fact, they’ve done a pretty good job of keeping his ridiculous agenda under wraps, only focusing on the idiot catch phrases of ‘hope’ and ‘change’.

Of course, the clueless 18-25 year old kids that far and away make up his biggest fanbase haven’t been around long enough to realize that those two words are used in EVERY election and that they’re being played for the ignorant fools that they are.

[txrangerette]

I truly believe that if McCain were a better CANDIDATE (I stress the word bc that’s ALL I’m going by when I say this...what kind of CANDIDATE has he been so far in every facet that goes into it), McCain would be leading Obama outside the margin of error, even in a so-called potentially catastrophic year for Republicans.

[popdonnelly]

Not only is the feature unique, it’s totally erroneous.

[God luvs America]

I also believe that if hussien were not black and just some white guy he’d be losing to McCain by double digits...

[ExTexasRedhead]

The truth about this moronic Marxist Messiah must be exposed before the Liberal media should be allowed to print their skewed polls. A candidate that has been endorsed by America’s enemies, e.g., Hamas, Hezbollah, Iran, Chavez, etc. is a disgrace to America and our heritage.

[SouthTexas]

The fat lady has yet to begin her warm-up. ;)

[Recovering_Democrat]

If Hussein wins, get ready for the hardest turn to socialism we’ve had in the USA since FDR. It’ll make LBJ’s “Great Society” look like a plan from the John Birch Society.

[Krankor]

Obama’s big problem- he wears thin after repeated viewings. The more you see him, the less you like him. He’s got a major league arrogance problem. Now, that’s not gonna hurt him with the hard line leftists. Venomous haters like Jan Shakowsky, Nostrilitis, Nancy Pelsoi et al, keep get re-elected. But, when it comes to moderate, “normal” human beings, by he time November rolls around, they’re gonna be sick of him.

[KC_Conspirator]

What are the Rasmussen numbers today?

[Sooth2222]

http://rasmussenreports.com/

43-43 without leaners and 46-47 with leaners. No idea how much of a Bradley effect Rasmussen is seeing this season.

[txrangerette]

BY THE NUMBERS (Rasmussen: McCain vs. Obama)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2044093/posts

[Sooth2222]

I'd guess that given the oil crisis, real estate crisis, stock market crisis and the war -- if the Democrats had nominated a more reasonable candidate -- the Republicans would be in serious trouble no matter who they nominated. As it is, they're in no more trouble than the Democrats, but for different reasons. I'm hoping that the stock market is up and the price of oil is down by November.

Really. If McCain can hold things in place for 4 years, then we have a chance for a serious conservative like a Sarah Palin or a Bobby Jindal. Does anyone seriously think he'd go for a second term?

[HawaiianGecko]

It's not like averaging a bunch of polls have any genuine statistical meaning.  It's like averaging the pH level of all of my neighbors pools and treating mine based upon the reading.