Replies

True enough. A seven point lead a 4.5% MOE translates into a >97% likelihood of winning. It's trending the wrong way, but we'll see if Obama's unfavorables move it back in the other direction.

-PJ

17 posted on 06/30/2008 8:12:05 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Repeal the 17th amendment -- it's the "Fairness Doctrine" for Congress!)

To: Political Junkie Too

McCain is a rather well known American political figure. Obama is not. His unfavorables are headed nowhere but up. It is a fact of American presidential campaigning.

Even though I do not much like McCain, I think Obama is a tremendous amount of hype. Being unknown allows the public to imagine him to be someone he is not— all things to all people. That process leads to inevitable attrition. The public knows McCain pretty well by comparison. The wishful thinking phase of America’s poisoned politics will not last through November.

I actually think Obama’s position is weak even now.

20 posted on 06/30/2008 8:45:43 PM PDT by lonestar67 (Its time to withdraw from the War on Bush-- your side is hopelessly lost in a quagmire.)

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