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Are you sure about that?

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Florida shows John McCain leading Barack Obama by seven percentage points, 48% to 41%. One week earlier, it was McCain by eight. A month ago, the Republican had a ten-point lead.

Obama's favorability may be falling, but from my read, one month ago McCain's polling lead was 10 points. One week ago, McCain's lead was down 2 points. Now it is down another 1 point.

With a +-4.5% margin of error, Florida was safe when McCain was leading by 10. Now he's leading by 7, which is within the margin of error.

-PJ

13 posted on 06/30/2008 4:53:18 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Repeal the 17th amendment -- it's the "Fairness Doctrine" for Congress!)

To: Political Junkie Too

I think you are right in regard to the first sentence— which surprisingly/NOT— leads us to believe that McCain is really getting pounded.

The buried lead/surprise/ is that Obama is increasingly unpopular in Florida.

A seven point lead is quite large and barely inside the margin of error— that is rather large.

16 posted on 06/30/2008 7:41:31 PM PDT by lonestar67 (Its time to withdraw from the War on Bush-- your side is hopelessly lost in a quagmire.)

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