how-to-lie-with-statistics alert.
“poll-manipulation alert.
how-to-lie-with-statistics alert.”
That was my first reaction. My intent was to find polls about voter party identification and show exactly how they undersampled Republicans to manipulate the polls.
Unfortunately, I found that while they did indeed undersample Republicans, it was only by 4% and that does not account for the large gap. What does account for it is that now only little over 25% of the voters are Republicans.
The point is not to go home and cry into one’s beer, wine, or brandy, and give up, but to recognize that we need all the votes we can get to defeat Obama.
“Overall, voters see Obama as the preferred agent of “change” by a margin of 51 percent to 27 percent. Younger voters, in particular, are more likely to see Obama that way: those 18 to 39 favor the Illinois senator by 66 percent to 27 percent. The two candidates are statistically tied among older voters.”
“poll-manipulation alert”
More importantly, take a look at how many of the “Obama Landslide!” polls are heavily UNDERSAMPLING Seniors in comparison to thier historic voting pattern.
One PPP poll I saw had 18-24’s as 24% (Historicly about 8-10%) and SENIORS as only 14%!!!