[Numbers Guy]

Key thing from that poll was the 19-point gap in party ID. Now either the GOP is being crushed in party ID, in which case the Republicans are in trouble on all levels, or else it’s a very skewed sample. I’m guessing the latter.

[buckalfa]

GOP Party ID has declined dramaticaly since 2004. This poll is probably worthless this far out, but it may foreshadow a Democratic rout come November.

[stylin19a]

Rats sampled by 15% more than repubs in poll. Independents sampled by 12% more than repubs. Independents never split evenly. they almost always go rat.
Whole poll is oversampled bias toward Rats, yet Obama only gets a 15 point lead. Obama's in deep dog doo-doo

9b. As of TODAY do you LEAN more toward the Republican Party or the Democratic Party?

Total RVs (Registered Voters)
22 23 Republican
36 38 Democrat
37 35 Independent
3 2 No party/Not interested in politics (VOL.)
* * Other party (VOL.)
2 2 Don't know
100 100

35 36 Total Republican/Lean Republican
53 55 Total Democrat/Lean Democrat
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and here's the numbers
_________________________

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS:
896 Registered voters (plus or minus 4)

231 Republicans (plus or minus 8)
324 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
307 Independents (plus or minus 7)

741 White (plus or minus 4)
139 Non-White (plus or minus 9)

423 Men (plus or minus 6)
473 Women (plus or minus 5)

167 18-39 (plus or minus 8)
336 40-59 (plus or minus 6)
366 60+ (plus or minus 6)

204 Hillary Clinton supporters (plus or minus 8)