Obama is currently leading in the polls. You can spout all the happy talk you want, but the reality is that the GOP has nominated a flawed candidate who will take the rest of the Reps on the down ballot with him.
Oh gee, let’s see, McCain is down 3 points in today’s Rasmussen daily poll, and 4 points in the latest Washington Post poll, in fact he’s ahead of the messiah in the Washington Post poll’s Most Likely To Vote catergory. Obama should be ahead by 10 - 12 points, especially if the Repub party in such tatters as you describe. The McCain strategy of keeping the messiah on the defensive and challenging him with specifics is sound, effective and is working. Here is a link to some polls you should check out, then again I could care less if you don’t:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html