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Doomed to Repeat History
Tax Foundation ^

Posted on 06/10/2008 10:35:00 AM PDT by newbie2008

At this moment, the Senate is debating a package of punitive measures against the major domestic oil companies, including a new windfall profits tax. We've been down this road before and to disastrous consequences.

Twenty eight years ago, President Jimmy Carter sign into law the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act (P.L. 96-223). According to a 2006 report by Congressional Research Service economist Salvatore Lazzari:

"The WPT had the effect of reducing the domestic supply of crude oil below what the supply would have been without the tax. This increased the demand for imported oil and made the United States more dependent upon foreign oil as compared with dependence without a WPT."

In the tables below, Lazzari estimates the impact of the Act on domestic oil production and the increased reliance on foreign oil.

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"These estimates indicate that the windfall profit tax caused domestic oil production losses in every year but 1986, when crude prices declined below adjusted base prices resulting in zero WPT. Over the entire 1980-86 period, it is estimated that, depending on the assumed supply curve price elasticity, the WPT reduced domestic oil production from between 320 million barrels (1.2% of domestic production) and 1,268 million barrels (4.8% of domestic production). The effect of reducing domestic oil production was to increase the level of imported oil. Columns (3), (6) and (9) show the estimated production losses caused by the WPT, as a % of the actual level of imported oil, under the assumed three supply curve elasticities range from 3.2% of total imports to 12.7% of imports for this period, depending on price elasticity."


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: carter2; carterredux; congress; energy; taxes; ussenate

1 posted on 06/10/2008 10:35:01 AM PDT by newbie2008
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To: newbie2008

Gosh, it brings back so many memories to remember Jimmy Carter in the White House. Yep Jimmy liked that windfall profits tax back in the day.

Seriously folks, it’s good to study the history. We have the history of what happened then when a windfall profit tax was enacted. Does anybody really think the results today would be different?


2 posted on 06/10/2008 10:38:16 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: newbie2008

Who cares about historical facts and logic? We just want to feel good..../sarc


3 posted on 06/10/2008 10:38:19 AM PDT by scottdeus12 (Jesus is real, whether you believe in Him or not.)
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To: newbie2008

This is solid evidence that BHO, while half honkey, all donkey, is just another Jimmy Cah-ta’


4 posted on 06/10/2008 10:40:21 AM PDT by Ahithophel (Padron@Anniversario)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Study of history is irrelevant when the dims choose to ignore it or re-write it.


5 posted on 06/10/2008 10:47:08 AM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: newbie2008

I believe that most of our politicians are in the pay of Saudi Arabia. There’s no other explanation that makes sense (except that they are communists who want to destroy the US, which is also plausible).


6 posted on 06/10/2008 10:48:14 AM PDT by Argus (Obama: All turban and no goats.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

“Gosh, it brings back so many memories to remember Jimmy Carter in the White House.”

Isn’t that what the prediction is — choose BO and get JC all over again?


7 posted on 06/10/2008 10:48:45 AM PDT by 353FMG (What marxism and fascism could not destroy, liberalism did.)
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To: Ahithophel

“half honkey, all donkey..”

Now THAT is funny!!!


8 posted on 06/10/2008 10:51:37 AM PDT by a real Sheila (Just say NObama!)
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To: Resolute Conservative
Study of history is irrelevant when the dims choose to ignore it or re-write it.

While I agree that the windfall profits tax was terrible policy, you and others on this thread do not understand the liberal mindset. I was surprised recently when a Finance faculty repeated the liberal line that we would have developed alternative energy alternatives 30 years ago if not for repealing the windfall profits tax and subsidizing big oil. I told him that alternative energies were impossible 30 years ago without great harm to the economy. He remained unconvinced.

The left has a Utopian vision of life. To the left, there is never a problem that cannot be fixed by a big government solution. The left feels that our mistake was not imposing a huge government solution to the oil price spikes and shortages of 30 years ago. The left is determined not to make the same mistake now.

The left wants a windfall profits tax so that oil production declines. The left hates oil for many reasons: CO2, dirty, spills, not renewable, ... Oil is not part of the left's vision for our energy portfolio. The left wants to force big oil to reduce investment in oil production. The windfall profits tax is a great way to change the behavior of the oil industry.

9 posted on 06/10/2008 11:26:11 AM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: Argus
We pay Saudi Arabia $300 bill a year for oil. They are one of the most powerful lobbyists (read briber) in DC. In addition they use our money to operate schools which teach hatred of the US and Israel.

What a wonderful world!

10 posted on 06/10/2008 11:29:58 AM PDT by purpleraine
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To: Argus
I have come to put a lot in your first theory. Good luck on anyone exposing the money trails, anyone who did probably wouldn't be around too long.

The second theory makes even more sense and is scarier than the first one.

11 posted on 06/10/2008 11:31:42 AM PDT by wally_bert (Tactical Is Still Missing A Chair!)
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To: newbie2008
Ah, the Carter Malaise


12 posted on 06/10/2008 11:40:36 AM PDT by Hoodat (Obama's only connection to the descendants of American Slaves is that his muslim ancestors sold them)
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To: newbie2008
I believe that the largest US owned oil company is only the 16th largest in the world.

Are we going to tax foreign oil as well? Some how I do not thing that this will keep the price down; only the supply!

13 posted on 06/10/2008 11:50:02 AM PDT by BillT (God said it, that settles it whether I believe it or not! (Bible rules))
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