[mgc1122]

I doubt if this will hold past the conventions. Democrats regardless of gender will tend to vote for the rat candidate.

[Owen]

You’re right. They will *tend* to vote Democrat. That’s not the source of McCain victory. The McCain victory is that if even 5% do not, he peels those votes off and that’s a 10% swing.

And note that women are not concentrated anywhere. They will be in swing states. The far right extremists who are sneering at McCain tend to be concentrated in the deep red states, which McCain is going to win regardless.

[KevinJohnson]

“I doubt if this will hold past the conventions.”

Oh it will hold alright.
There has never been a case recently where female voters preferred the Republican candidate as late as June.
In both 2000 and 2004, the Democrat candidate was far ahead of the Republican candidate amongst women from before June right on to the elections in November.

“Democrats regardless of gender will tend to vote for the rat candidate”

Black females will vote overwhelmingly for Obama. Most older white women simply won't vote for him.
Obama is toast.