[wideawake]

Go back and study the history of First Sino-Japanese War and you will understand why I believe this.

You're going to need to be far more specific than that.

That war took place 50 years before Hiroshima and was a disaster for China that led to further problems and the eventual collapse of the country's government.

They achieved none of their war aims and were weakened and humiliated.

In a post-Hiroshima age, why would China be motivated to emulate an abject failure from their past?

[Perdogg]

The main cause of Sino-japanese war was that China was weak and failed to modernize, thus creating a power vacuum while Japan was modernizing and expansionist. Dpending on the US political situation in the next decade, if China preceives the US as being weak, then we could be head for war. There are no power vacuums in the world. Once one exists it is quickly filled.