Hillary Won Popular Vote!

Those are all good points. Based on the results of the 2000, 2004 and 2006 elections, I'd say there are no more than a half-dozen states that would truly be considered "swing" states in 2008. These would include Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico, New Hampshire and perhaps Missouri or Nevada.

Obama won at least three of those states (Iowa, Nevada and Wisconsin).

Most other states are likely to either follow their previous form, or any change in their results would render all these other states meaningless. If the Republican were to win Pennsylvania or the Democrat were to win Florida, for example, then I don't see how this would occur without most or all of these closely-contested states ending up in the winning candidate's column.

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.