I disagree.
The current electoral map has them just about tied, but McCain will pretty much keep all of the Bush electoral votes, and he might pick up Michigan, if his VP is Romney, and there is actually something really really negative in Obama’s radical associations and in his inexperience and in his really odd gaffes.
But I think one will see Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico flop, which would be enough to counter a Michigan flop.
And if the VP nominee is Romney (to boost him in Michigan and on Economic terms), I think that could cost him in KY and some of the border states when Evangelicals (the 25-30% who said they would never vote for a Mormon) stay at home or vote for Bob Barr.
I hope and pray you are right. I’m just not optimistic (granted, I usually am never optimistic in regards to politics).
> but McCain will pretty much keep all of the Bush electoral votes,
No, and he may very well lose Ohio, NM, Colorado and Iowa, and the dems will spend heavily in Virginia and the Carolinas to keep him honest there
>and he might pick up Michigan, if his VP is Romney,
Yes, he might.
My analysis is that if Hillary joins the ticket then the dems will pick up near 300 electoral votes