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Obama needs about 65 more Supers before this comes to a close.

Otherwise Hildabeast would ask her "Rules Committee" supporters to reinstate the MI and FL delegates. That changes the math drastically.

As of now, if out of remaining 217 pledge delegates, even in absolute worst nightmare scenario for Obama, he still takes about 95. That would mean Hildabeast gets 122. Adding that 122 to her overall delegate count of 1698 results in 1820 total, leaving her 205 Super Short out of remaining 250-260 Supers.

So percentage of Supers she needs is about 76-82%.

HOWEVER, if MI and FL are seated, the percentage of Superdelegates that she would need to get to 2,208 delegate count to win nomination, will be MUCH lower.

By my estimate about 55-60% (depending on how they distribute the delegates. If Hillary has her way and gets the percentages as they stand now, then my 55-60% number would be correct).

1 posted on 05/10/2008 12:03:59 PM PDT by The_Republican
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To: The_Republican
What's .5 of a superdelegate?
2 posted on 05/10/2008 12:14:05 PM PDT by Blind Eye Jones
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To: The_Republican

I don’t think there is any doubt the price Hillary will pay for the super delegates she needs to win. Don’t count her out yet. Others who are no longer with us have counted the Clintons out to their demise.


7 posted on 05/10/2008 12:38:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Never confuse polite defferment for submission.)
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To: All
OBAMA GETS TWO VIRGIN ISLAND SUPER DELEGATE SWITCHERS

Obama picked up two Virgin Islands superdelegates who were previously supporting Clinton, the campaign announced. They are Kevin Rodriguez, who had publicly endorsed Clinton, and Carol Burke, who had been privately considered for Clinton before today. Obama won the Virgin Islands contest overwhelmingly, and Clinton supporters there have been facing increasing pressure to go with Obama.

So far today in the NBC NEWS count, Obama has a net of three to Clinton's negative one. Also expected today are one more add on from Massachusetts and two adds on from Ohio.

The NBC NEWS delegate counts:

PLEDGED: Obama 1,590, Clinton 1,426 SUPERS: Clinton 276.5, Obama 272 TOTAL: Obama 1,862, Clinton 1,702.5

* This leaves 246.5 superdelegates undeclared. Nearly 50 are not yet named. Most will be this month.

* Obama needs 163 to reach 2,025 needed for the nomination.
10 posted on 05/10/2008 1:21:00 PM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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