Plus let’s not forget that Ted Kennedy managed to launch a floor fight in 1980, despite the fact that he only had 1/3 of the delegates and no real case for being more electable than Carter. Hillary, meanwhile, has a delegate percentage deep in the forties and has a clear case for being a stronger nominee than Barry.
I think Obama will be the nominee, but there will definitely be a floor fight...and riots.
Hillary will drop out before the convention. The Dem convention will be a love fest with Hillary, Obama, Richardson and Bill holding hands singing Kumbaya and pledging to stop a third Bush term. You can count on the Dems being united coming out of their convention.