Ummm, mathamatically, an Obama is pretty unlikely, too. He needs almost ALL the remaining pledged delegates to win.
This leaves things in the hands of the “superdelagates.” And Hillary “Have you ever seen your FBI file?” Clinton has a pretty good chance in that arena.
That’s true. However, out of the remaining 260 Supers, he needs less than 100 and she needs neary 230.
Second, most of the Supers who are uncommitted are from Obama’s States.
Will Maryland, Virginia, Hawaii, Illinois, Georgia, Wisconsin, Maryland and Minnesotta, States where he CLOBBERRED Hillary, abandon him?
Fat Chance.
In addition, North Carolina and Oregon are pretty big States and Demographics are in his favor. None of them is ready to abandon him.
Defections - all of them, have been from Hillary’s camp to Obama and not vice versa. So if at the Height of Wright/Elitist Scandal nobody panicked, I doubt they would panic when he is like 90 Supers short.