Posted on 05/03/2008 6:36:44 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
What I’m reading on this thread (not being familiar with the details of LA politica) is not at all encouraging. In fact, it’s downright depressing.
LA-06 has generally preferred reformist or “business” Republicans, not rural folk like Woody Jenkins. We saw this when Clyde Holloway, a conservative Republican in the religious right mold, lost to Richard Baker when their districts were combined in 1992.
Maybe Republican turnout will be better in November with McCain on the ticket...hmmm? ya think:)
MS-1 isn’t for a couple more weeks.
If Jay Dardenne runs, odds are good we can win the seat back. He’s popular and hailed from a Baton Rouge Senate district. If not him, there are a number of state legislators from that area we could try. The problem is, Louisiana has never ousted a Democratic House incumbent in a general election. Party infighting cost us LA-03, and who knows if we’ll even challenge it seriously this year. And what’s worse, LA-04 is open this November and it went for Bush by about the same margin that LA-06 did.
Jenkins was a Democrat when he was in the state senate, wasn’t he? I remember he spoke at CPAC one year and I think he was still a Dem then. He got smart and got out of the party. Meanwhile this “conservative” Democrat who won tonight is either an idiot or a big fraud. Does he think he and others are going to moderate the party at all? No chance of that. By winning this seat he only bolsters the party of high taxes, weakened defense, and of course abortion on demand. Hard to believe he is much of a conservative.
to the extent that Louisiana has Country Club Republicans, they’re concentrated in Baton Rouge.
“I think I could have guessed this one... “
What does that mean?
In 10 days, we’ll find out.
Marjorie McKeithen made a strongish run at Baker last time-or maybe the time before, which should have been a red flag that the district was changing. By contrast, I have a hard time seeing LA-04 turning Democrat. Shreveport was a Republican stronghold even when Louisiana was a one party state.
He was a State Rep., not a State Senator. He was a Dem from 1972 until he switched parties in 1994. Problem was, until the ‘80s and ‘90s, you couldn’t really get anywhere in LA without being a Dem (and the party was wide enough to go from lib to Conservative). The GOP only just gained enough seats to elect a Speaker just this past January (for the first time since Reconstruction).
Shreveport briefly went GOP, but the city is majority Black Dem now.
The district also had more black precincts at the time. This was just after the Cleo Fields district was eliminated. Since then, some of those black precincts were taken out and put into LA-05.
This sucks.
Doesn’t he need above 50% to avoid a run off?
Post #27.
Hadn’t read that far yet. That’ll teach me. Thank you.
We were all asking that same question. Maybe we should go back to requiring those run-offs. The Democrats did not get a majority in this contest, it was the Republicans with 2 splinter candidates that deprived us of a win here.
Hell, Cleo mass called me tonight and begged me to vote for Caz and even offered me a ride. If the call been live I’d axed fo a five to ride to vote Cleo’s jive honky.
Damn I’m pissed.
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