Posted on 04/30/2008 4:36:40 PM PDT by EPW Comm Team
Posted By Marc Morano - 6:40 PM ET - Marc_Morano@EPW.Senate.Gov
BREAKING NEWS: Global Warming Will 'Stop', New Peer-Reviewed Study Says
Global Warming Takes a Break for Nearly 20 Years?
Today’s UK Telegraph reports: “Global warming will stop until at least 2015 because of natural variations in the climate, scientists have said. Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a "lull" for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions. The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged. This would mean that the 0.3°C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature.”
This significant new study adds to a growing body of peer-reviewed literature and other scientific analysis challenging former Vice President Al Gore and the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC). MIT Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen’s March 2008 analysis found the Earth has had “no statistically significant warming since 1995.”- LINK.
Australian paleoclimate scientist Dr. Bob Carter also noted in 2007 that “ the accepted global average temperature statistics used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show that no ground-based warming has occurred since 1998.” Carter explained that the “temperature stasis has occurred despite an increase over the same period of 15 parts per million (or 4 per cent) in atmospheric CO2.” (LINK)
In August 2007, the UK Met Office, Britain's version of our National Weather Service, conceded that global warming had stopped as well. Both the Nature and UK Met Office analysis predict a continuation of global warming in future years. [Note: Hyping yet more unproven computer models of the future in response to inconvenient evidence based data is the primary tool of the promoters of man-made climate doom.]
Today’s new study in Nature essentially finds that global warming will have stopped for nearly 20 years. (1998 until 2015) According to the UK Telegraph article: “Writing in Nature, the scientists said: ‘Our results suggest that global surface temperature may not increase over the next decade, as natural climate variations in the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific temporarily offset the projected anthropogenic [manmade] warming.’”
The UK Telegraph article by reporter Charles Clover noted the significant deficiencies in UN climate models: “The IPCC currently does not include in its models actual records of such events as the strength of the Gulf Stream and the El Nino cyclical warming event in the Pacific, which are known to have been behind the warmest year ever recorded in 1998.”
The evidence based data showing the Earth’s failure to continue warming has confounded the promoters of man-made climate fear. The American people have consistently rejected climate alarm as a Gallup Poll released on Earth Day 2008 shows the American public’s concern about man-made global warming is unchanged from 1989. Gore's $300 million dollar campaign to promote climate fear is attempting to convince American's that they face a climate "crisis" despite the new accumulating scientific evidence.
This new study in Nature further reveals a “tipping point” for the promoters of climate alarm. 2007 and now 2008 have challenged man-made climate fear as new peer-reviewed studies continue to debunk rising CO2 fears. A U.S. Senate minority report reveals over 400 scientists dissented from man-made climate fears, and more and more scientists continue to declare themselves skeptical of a man-made climate “crisis” in 2008.
Sampling of key inconvenient developments for promoters of a man-made climate “crisis” so far in 2008: (See also related link at bottom of this report)
1) Oceans Cooling! Scientists puzzled by “mystery of global warming's missing heat”- LINK
2) New Data from NASA’s Aqua satellite is showing “greatly reduced future warming projected as a consequence of carbon dioxide.”- LINK
3) Former NASA Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer found not one peer-reviewed paper has 'ruled out a natural cause for most of our recent warmth' – LINK
4) UN IPCC in 'Panic Mode' as Earth Fails to Warm, Scientist says – LINK
5) UN IPCC Chairman Rajendra Pachauri “to look into the apparent temperature plateau so far this century.”- LINK
6) New scientific analysis shows Sun “could account for as much as 69% of the increase in Earth's average temperature” – LINK & LINK.
7) Scientists find dust free atmosphere may be responsible for up to .36 F rise in global temps (LINK)
8) Analysis in peer-reviewed journal finds cold periods – not warm periods – see increase in floods, droughts, storms, famine (LINK)
9) New York Times Laments Media's Incorrect hyping of frogs and global warming (LINK)
10) Prominent hurricane expert reconsiders global warming's impact (LINK)
11) MIT Climate Scientist Dr. Richard Lindzen’s March 2008 analysis found the Earth has had “no statistically significant warming since 1995.”- (LINK)
12) An International team of scientists released a March 2008 report to counter UN IPCC, declaring: “Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate” – LINK
# #
Well, it's CNN.
-and I will stand by my prediction that their AGW computer models are totally flawed...and worthless.
They completely missed this current downturn, and have even been in denial (not a river in Egypt) about the 2007 colder then average winter.
-Is it that small of an amount? (.25%) I knew it wasn't very much.
I was looking for that info, on the amount of CO2 produced by anthropogenic. Do you have a source for that?
Thanks.
The heat is eventually transferred to the sea and land, ultimately disrupting Earth's complex climate system.
Problem is, the 3000 robots swimming the world's ocean's all came up with the same data: None of the oceans are warming up, but some are slightly cooling. This of course brought about the new theory of 'believe anything that pays' scientists - the heat is now hiding in the depths - it's a newly discovered "cool heat", so it goes down instead of up.
Climate experts have long warned, though, that warming is unlikely to be a gradual trend, but a movement in stops and starts.
What an AMAZING COINCIDENCE - just exactly like the cooling and warming trends since long before the industrial revolution. This is both fascinating AND convenient.
The main reason for this is that the oceans -- the biggest store of heat -- go through natural cycles of circulation.
Hey what a coincidence - almost just like the other coincidence - the consensus team just discovered the Theory of Heat That Goes Down - And Around - Until They Find It
The long churning of the seas can have a far-reaching effect, sometimes delaying for years the moment when the stored warmth is released at the surface.
Who wrote that dime store romance novel mush, Joan Wilder? Someone get her a room before she wets herself.
You should be embarrassed to be caught reading this garbage, much less trying to push it on people.
Here’s a good link that I’ve seen before, and may have been where I got the 0.25%. However, I see that I am in error on the CO2 thing.
http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
Human contribution to the TOTAL effective greenhouse components, including water vapor, is 0.28%. And water vapor is the largest component of greenhouse gases. The amount of CO2 is something like 3% (its in the link). And I don’t recall if the 3% is the amount of CO2, or the “effective” amount of extra greenhouse effect. The link goes into detail on all of that.
And of course all we hear about in the press is the CO2, because that is something we can sort of understand (it comes out of our tailpipes and sounds like a pollutant - actually it is now based on last years Supreme Court Ruling!!??). Water vapor doesn’t sound quite so evil.
Anyway, with the .28% thing, I showed my kids 100 copper pennies on the table, with 1/4 of a single penny colored white with wite-out. Then asked them “how much does that white color change the color of the entire bunch of pennies?”. So simple, even a 10 year-old can figure it out.
“Global warming” hoax BUMP!
Okay , going off topic of this thread (Sun Spots), but that previous link says madmade contribution of the “effective” CO2 amount is 0.117%.
Then it summarizes things with:
“The Kyoto Protocol calls for mandatory carbon dioxide reductions of 30% from developed countries like the U.S. Reducing man-made CO2 emissions this much would have an undetectable effect on climate while having a devastating effect on the U.S. economy. Can you drive your car 30% less, reduce your winter heating 30%? Pay 20-50% more for everything from automobiles to zippers? And that is just a down payment, with more sacrifices to come later.
Such drastic measures, even if imposed equally on all countries around the world, would reduce total human greenhouse contributions from CO2 by about 0.035%.
This is much less than the natural variability of Earth’s climate system!
While the greenhouse reductions would exact a high human price, in terms of sacrifices to our standard of living, they would yield statistically negligible results in terms of measurable impacts to climate change. There is no expectation that any statistically significant global warming reductions would come from the Kyoto Protocol.”
Dr. S. Fred Singer, atmospheric physicist
Professor Emeritus of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia,
and former director of the US Weather Satellite Service;
in a Sept. 10, 2001 Letter to Editor, Wall Street Journal
Fine.
Your input is appreciated.
thanks for the info.
CO2 is a trace gas anyway, and as you pointed out, anthropogenic is a tiny fraction of that.
I’m amazed the AGW argument ever got any traction.
Thanks for playing.
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