That’s my point, we WANT Obama to be the candidate. He can’t win because he won’t get the white working class vote. I think McCain trumps him there. Obama can’t win without them and he won’t get them.
Whites will vote, and vote McCain. In a way, each of these votes count twice; one less for the democrats, one more for McCain. Blacks may not vote for Hilary, but won’t vote for McCain either. Those “non-votes” are only a single win. And that’s somewhat diluted, because to the extent blacks do vote, they will still vote democrat.
Hilary can win. Obama cannot. That’s my take.
Hillary is more likely to win than Obama, that’s for sure.
But sometimes it only takes a seminal event to divide a class of voters from a party. If Hillary takes the nomination, my take is the Democrat party will be wounded for years to come.
So many blacks have had it drummed into them that they are victims of the white establishment (Just listen to Wright, he’s king of the koolaid). If Hillary, that rich, white, privilaged woman steals it from a black man, the hatred will be palpable.