It will likely end in the $8 million area, so yeah, I think the producers will make some money. Using “Hollywood Math”, they may break even.
They will not even recover the cost of production and promotion. Not to mention defending against separate copyright suits by EMI and Yoko. This Thursday will likely see the end of the thousand theater distribution.
I agree with your estimate on eventual box office, but that's not going to give anyone a profit.
Exhibitors get $2.4 million of that, but they only made #1100/screen in the first week and they are not going to make up the diff to their costs on popcorn sales.
Distributor get $1.6 mill, which won';t pay for the theater prints.
Of the producers $$ mill, they admit to $3.5 production costs, add advertising, and they are comping people like crazy to go see the film.
Bottom line, before opening the producers said an opening Box Office of $12-15M would be a success - they got less than 3.