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To: Travis McGee
The dollar is going to rally why? The fed raised interest rates sharply or stopped printing lots more money (same thing)? Imports have dropped sharply? There is a sudden demand to hold dollars? Some folks who hold lots of long positions could liquidate them if they could only find lots of shorts who will throw in the towel? All those shorts who got in in the 83-87 range are now scared and will have to cover before they lose their tails?

If we turned the chart upside down and labeled it with our favorite worthless dotcom everyone here would be telling you to let the momentum run and you would be a fool to bet against the trend. Fundamentals argue against a PE of infinity to nothing. Never stopped the permatouts from pushing something to the upside before.

So what is different about this. The flipside of the dollar falling is everything else rallying. What folks don't like to contemplate is that we have had a free ride for 3 decades and don't produce anything that anyone else wants except agricultural commodities - and that is how you become a third world basket case is by relying upon selling farm produce.

41 posted on 04/28/2008 5:08:45 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson
The fed raised interest rates sharply or stopped printing lots more money (same thing)?

The Fed has been printing lots more money? Since when?

What folks don't like to contemplate is that we have had a free ride for 3 decades and don't produce anything that anyone else wants except agricultural commodities -

Is that why are exports are at record levels? Only because of agricultural commodities?

43 posted on 04/28/2008 5:30:37 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are doom and gloomers, union members and liberals so bad at math?)
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To: AndyJackson
"don't produce anything that anyone else wants"

Except, you know, for $14 trillion in goods and services every year. Little things like that...

88 posted on 04/29/2008 5:38:15 PM PDT by JasonC
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