Hey, I'm just a simple Aussie...don't have a phd in political science LOL!...but if you're asking me, here goes:
IMO Mookie is dead. Iran has been 'represented' by his 'office' in Basra. Now that it's gone PFFFT the Iranians have lost their tool of influence and their organizational ability. It's pull-back time to plot the next infiltration tactic...but with a bunch of hooligans as an 'army' that are dumping their weapons and running, it don't look so good for them.
One more thing. I think there are a number of Shia in Basra who are NOT Mookie-lovers. If the tide has turned against the taliban-style tactics of the Iranian and alQaeda foreigners who are behind the beatings of Basra citizens who are simply trying to exist and earn a living -by destroying their market stalls for example ( as I saw on video recently) the Iranians can probably relate this to what happened with the Anbar Awakening. Making enemies in Basra doesn't serve the Iranian purpose.
Anyway, with Mookies 'office' gone, the tentacles are literally cut and the Basrans have nothing more to be afraid of! That Basra woman who said (through a translator) that they were no better off now than under Saddam, might as well have said SHARIA is the same as a dictatorship, and there must be a whole lot more just like her.
Even if Mookie is still alive, I can't see how he can return nor re-establish his power. How does that sound?
I haven’t seen the videos....but those would be great...I like the way things are going down there.