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Let's give Iran an ultimatum
NY Daily News ^ | April 11 2008 | Charles Krauthammer

Posted on 04/11/2008 2:19:32 PM PDT by knighthawk

On Tuesday, Iran announced it was installing 6,000 more centrifuges - they produce enriched uranium, the key ingredient of a nuclear weapon - in addition to the 3,000 already operating. The world yawned.

It is time to admit the truth: The Bush administration's attempt to halt Iran's nuclear program has failed. Utterly. The latest round of UN Security Council sanctions, which took a year to achieve, is comically weak. It represents the end of the sanctions road.

The President is going to hand over to his successor an Iran on the verge of going nuclear. This will deeply destabilize the Middle East, threaten the moderate Arabs with Iranian hegemony and leave Israel on hair-trigger alert.

This failure can, however, be mitigated. Since there will apparently be no disarming of Iran by preemption or by sanctions, we shall have to rely on deterrence to prevent the mullahs, some of whom are apocalyptic, from using nuclear weapons.

During the Cold War, we prevented an attack not only on the U.S. but also on America's allies by extending the American nuclear umbrella - i.e., declaring that any attack on our allies would be considered an attack on the United States.

Such a threat is never 100% credible. Nonetheless, it made the Soviets think twice about attacking our European allies. It kept the peace.

We should do the same to keep nuclear peace in the Middle East. It would be infinitely less dangerous (and therefore more credible) than Cold War deterrence because there will be no threat from Iran of the annihilation of the United States. Iran, unlike the Soviet Union, would have a relatively tiny arsenal incapable of reaching the U.S.

How to create deterrence? The way John Kennedy did during the Cuban missile crisis.

President Bush should issue the following declaration, adopting Kennedy's language while changing the names of the miscreants:

It shall be the policy of this nation to regard any nuclear attack upon Israel by Iran, or originating in Iran, as an attack by Iran on the United States, requiring a full retaliatory response upon Iran.

This should be followed with a simple explanation: "As a beacon of tolerance and as leader of the free world, the United States will not permit a second Holocaust to be perpetrated upon the Jewish people."

This policy - the Holocaust Declaration - would establish a firm benchmark that would outlive this administration. Every future President - and every serious presidential candidate - would have to publicly state whether or not he supports the Holocaust Declaration. It is an important question to ask because it will not be uncontroversial. It will be argued that the Holocaust Declaration is either redundant or, at the other extreme, provocative.

Redundant, it will be said, because Israel could retaliate on its own. The problem is that Israel is a very small country with a small nuclear arsenal that could be destroyed in a first strike. During the Cold War, both the U.S. and the U.S.S.R. created vast and invulnerable submarine fleets to ensure a retaliatory strike and, thus, deterrence.

The invulnerability and unimaginably massive size of this American nuclear arsenal would make a U.S. deterrent far more potent and reliable than any Israeli facsimile - and thus far more likely to keep the peace.

Would such a declaration be provocative? On the contrary. Deterrence is the least provocative of all policies. That is why it is the favored alternative of those who oppose a preemptive attack on Iran. What the Holocaust Declaration does is turn deterrence from a slogan into a policy.

It is, of course, hardly certain that deterrence would work on Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and other jihadists. But deterrence would encourage rational Iranian actors, of whom there are many, to restrain or even depose leaders like Ahmadinejad who might sacrifice Iran's existence as a nation in order to vindicate their divine obligation to exterminate the "filthy bacteria" of the Jewish state, "this disgraceful stain [on] the Islamic world."

For the first time since the time of Jesus, Israel is the home of the world's largest Jewish community. An implacable enemy has openly declared genocidal intentions against it - in violation of the UN charter - and is pursuing the means to carry out that intent. The world does nothing. Some, like the Russians, are literally providing fuel for the fire.

For those who believe that America stands for something in the world - that the nation that has liberated more peoples than any other has even the most minimal moral vocation - there can be no more pressing cause than preventing the nuclear annihilation of an allied democracy, the last refuge and hope of an ancient people openly threatened with the final Final Solution.

letters@charleskrauthammer.com


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: iran; krauthammer

1 posted on 04/11/2008 2:19:33 PM PDT by knighthawk
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To: MizSterious; Nix 2; green lantern; BeOSUser; Brad's Gramma; dreadme; Turk2; keri; ...

Ping


2 posted on 04/11/2008 2:19:56 PM PDT by knighthawk (We will always remember We will always be proud We will always be prepared so we may always be free)
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To: knighthawk

I say that we should not only give Iran nukes, but deliver it to them with free shipping.


3 posted on 04/11/2008 2:24:40 PM PDT by lormand (What is the difference between a Reagan Democrat and a McCain Democrat?)
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To: knighthawk
"During the Cold War, we prevented an attack not only on the U.S. but also on America's allies by extending the American nuclear umbrella...We should do the same to keep nuclear peace in the Middle East."

Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha...!




4 posted on 04/11/2008 2:35:31 PM PDT by familyop (Worthless male weekend warrior has-been trash with no degree.)
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To: lormand

“I say that we should not only give Iran nukes, but deliver it to them with free shipping.”

Hunh!?


5 posted on 04/11/2008 2:35:32 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists...call 'em what you will...They ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: lormand

As usual, Krautheimer nails it.


6 posted on 04/11/2008 2:36:34 PM PDT by mathurine
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To: knighthawk
Hm. Krauthammer assumes that Iran's Mullahcracy would be impressed by such an ultimatum. I tend to think not ... especially the Ahneedajihad wing of it.

Now, the people of Iran might well respond more like normal people, and perhaps it would push them into finally having had enough of their ruling Mullahs. Or not.

It's a tough call, though. Personally, I think we'll be at war with Iran in the not-too-distant future.

7 posted on 04/11/2008 2:39:49 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: knighthawk
There was no "umbrella" during the Cold War, genius Hammerkraut. There was MAD, and no reasoning human being would believe that could work with the Iranians. The Iranian leadership wants their populace to incur large casualties for the purpose of inciting other Islamist nations to war. And Iran does not only want to conquer Israel. It wants to conquer the western world.

And that's our kindergarten lesson on objective perception as opposed to wishful thinking for today.


8 posted on 04/11/2008 2:40:22 PM PDT by familyop (Worthless male weekend warrior has-been trash with no degree.)
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To: mathurine

Think about it.


9 posted on 04/11/2008 2:44:10 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: rockinqsranch
“I say that we should not only give Iran nukes, but deliver it to them with free shipping.”

Hunh!?


I think the author is suggesting that since they are bent on getting nukes, we give them several as a gift. They will be non-returnable. The free shipping aspect requires them to be sent via airmail with packaging that won't provide adequate protection against detonation. I'm not sure but I'd venture to say that their order would be filled from one of the USA's mobile submerged distribution centers...
10 posted on 04/11/2008 2:51:29 PM PDT by philled (Tá mé, tá tú, tá sé...)
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To: knighthawk
The invulnerability and unimaginably massive size of this American nuclear arsenal would make a U.S. deterrent far more potent and reliable than any Israeli facsimile - and thus far more likely to keep the peace.

And just who gets the job of dumping testosterone in Washington's water supply?

11 posted on 04/11/2008 2:58:08 PM PDT by Gorzaloon
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To: knighthawk

The Iranian pigs have been giving us the middle finger for years. Ultimatum, hell....just nuke them and be done with it.


12 posted on 04/11/2008 2:59:40 PM PDT by GoldenPup
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To: Mr. Lucky; mathurine

#9 was meant for #5. sorry.


13 posted on 04/11/2008 3:10:37 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: mathurine
As usual, Krauthammer nails it.

Much as I admire Krauthammer, I don't think he has nailed it this time.

See Gabe Schoenfeld's response at "Connect the Dots":

http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/schoenfeld/3312

14 posted on 04/11/2008 3:54:01 PM PDT by Oeconomicus
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To: knighthawk
Image hosted by Photobucket.com

15 posted on 04/11/2008 4:27:27 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist ©®)
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To: rockinqsranch
“I say that we should not only give Iran nukes, but deliver it to them with free shipping.”

Hunh!?

Photobucket

16 posted on 04/11/2008 4:34:14 PM PDT by Cobra64 (www.BulletBras.net)
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To: knighthawk
Image hosted by Photobucket.comIran has WON the Toss... and elected to Receive!!!

17 posted on 04/11/2008 4:34:20 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist ©®)
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To: Cobra64
Image hosted by Photobucket.com

Shot:George - Yield:225 Kilotons - First Thermonuclear Test
18 posted on 04/11/2008 4:35:59 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist ©®)
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To: knighthawk
Let's give Iran an ultimatum

nah, lets bomb them into the Stone Age, or better yet, the Mesozoic, forget that, hell, lets bomb them into the Pre-Cambrian

19 posted on 04/11/2008 5:27:31 PM PDT by chilepepper (The map is not the territory -- Alfred Korzybski)
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