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Forecaster expects eight Atlantic hurricanes this year
Reuters ^

Posted on 04/09/2008 8:43:59 AM PDT by Sub-Driver

Forecaster expects eight Atlantic hurricanes this year Wed Apr 9, 2008 11:32am EDT

MIAMI (Reuters) - The noted Colorado State University hurricane research team predicted on Wednesday that 15 tropical storms would form during the coming Atlantic storm season, of which eight would strengthen into hurricanes.

The team founded by forecasting pioneer Bill Gray increased its outlook by two tropical storms and one hurricane over its last outlook issued in December due to improved conditions for storm development, including warmer sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic.

The Colorado State team, now led by Gray protege Phil Klotzbach, predicted in December that the six-month season beginning on June 1 would produce 13 tropical storms, of which seven would become hurricanes and three would be major hurricanes with winds of at least 111 mph (178 kph).

The average hurricane season produces about 10 tropical storms and six hurricanes, but researchers believe the Atlantic is in a period of heightened storm activity that began around 1995 and could last 25 to 40 years.

Last year, 15 tropical storms formed and six became hurricanes.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw
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That's odd, my farmer's almanac says 5. Oh well who are you going to believe....
1 posted on 04/09/2008 8:44:00 AM PDT by Sub-Driver
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To: Sub-Driver

Al Gore /s


2 posted on 04/09/2008 8:44:33 AM PDT by WakeUpAndVote (The Constitution starts with the assumption that our rights are inherent and limits intrusion.)
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To: Sub-Driver

Bush’s fault - how many will hit New Orleans?


3 posted on 04/09/2008 8:46:11 AM PDT by SoldierDad (Proud Dad of a 2nd BCT 10th Mountain Soldier home after 15 months in the Triangle of death)
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To: Sub-Driver

Gosh, I hope these eight hurricanes aren’t as devastating and catastrophic as all of the predicted hurricanes that ended civilization in the USA in 2006 & 2007. Man, those were some BAD storms they’d predicted.


4 posted on 04/09/2008 8:46:18 AM PDT by PeterFinn (Charlton Heston & Ronald Reagan - my two favorite Presidents.)
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To: Sub-Driver
ONOZ!


5 posted on 04/09/2008 8:46:52 AM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Sub-Driver

After blowing the 2006 and 2007 forecasts, I’m going to have to say that they’re out of chances to cry wolf.


6 posted on 04/09/2008 8:46:56 AM PDT by Slapshot68
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To: Sub-Driver

I predict that this season will produce at least six more predictions than last year’s record nine predictions.


7 posted on 04/09/2008 8:47:06 AM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: WakeUpAndVote
The noted Colorado State University hurricane research team predicted on Wednesday that 15 tropical storms would form during the coming Atlantic storm season, of which eight would strengthen into hurricanes.

Noted because they haven't even been close in their predictions the last two years...

We were supposed to have a "wave" of Katrina's two years ago, and several more CAT 5's last year, as I recall...

8 posted on 04/09/2008 8:47:42 AM PDT by NorCoGOP (Stop Billary 2008! If nothing else, think of the White House sinks!)
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To: Sub-Driver

But we have no idea what the weather is going to be tomorrow morning!


9 posted on 04/09/2008 8:47:53 AM PDT by Obadiah
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To: Sub-Driver

Almanac prolly has a better track record - maybe I could get a grant to study that...


10 posted on 04/09/2008 8:53:45 AM PDT by Hegemony Cricket (Act Swiftly Awesome Pachyderm!)
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To: Slapshot68
After blowing the 2006 and 2007 forecasts, I’m going to have to say that they’re out of chances to cry wolf.

But, one of these years, whether this year or next year or 20 years from now, those predictions will be true. And then, the people issuing the predictions will no doubt tell us that they "know what they're talking about". You know, in the same manner that a broken clock is right twice a day.
11 posted on 04/09/2008 8:54:13 AM PDT by adorno
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To: NorCoGOP

“We were supposed to have a “wave” of Katrina’s two years ago, and several more CAT 5’s last year, as I recall...”

Yup. See we’re supposed to believe all of the hogwash junk science about climate changes, predicted to be devastating in the next 50-100 years, yet they can’t get the hurricane season right year to year.

Oh and now all of the recent cooling we’re seeing has come from La Nina which scientists still have little knowledge of why it forms.

But for sure global warming is happening!!!


12 posted on 04/09/2008 8:54:49 AM PDT by Slapshot68
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To: Sub-Driver; rdl6989; IrishCatholic; Delacon; TenthAmendmentChampion; Horusra; CygnusXI; ...



Beam me to Planet Gore !

13 posted on 04/09/2008 8:55:36 AM PDT by steelyourfaith
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To: Sub-Driver

It will be eight, unless in is less, in which case they will revise the number downward... Or if it is more, in which case they will revise the number upward...

The only thing that is certain is that no matter how many hurricanes there are, it is a symptom of Global Warming and All George Bush’s Fault.


14 posted on 04/09/2008 8:56:18 AM PDT by gridlock (Proud McCain Supporter since February 8, 2008.)
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To: Sub-Driver

I believe their first prediction last year was 14 for 2007. That means almost 1/2 the chance of last year and there were none last year. Whew.... feel better now./s


15 posted on 04/09/2008 8:57:31 AM PDT by MrPiper
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To: gridlock

“The only thing that is certain is that no matter how many hurricanes there are, it is a symptom of Global Warming and All George Bush’s Fault.”

Actually it’s a lot of devastating hurricanes, it will be global warming’s fault. If it’s abnormally too few, it will be because of CLIMATE CHANGE.

Either way, you’re right...it’s Bush’s fault.


16 posted on 04/09/2008 8:57:40 AM PDT by Slapshot68
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To: Slapshot68

One thing that we can be absolutely sure of is that we need to raise taxes and buy Algore a new house.


17 posted on 04/09/2008 8:59:40 AM PDT by gridlock (Proud McCain Supporter since February 8, 2008.)
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To: gridlock

“One thing that we can be absolutely sure of is that we need to raise taxes and buy Algore a new house.”

Sorry, I can’t chip in for that. I’m broke from all of the carbon offsets I’ve had to buy.

/s off


18 posted on 04/09/2008 9:01:00 AM PDT by Slapshot68
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To: Slapshot68

They should run an office pool, where each of the “noted scientists” picks a number out of a hat, 1-30, kind of like for the Superbowl Score. Then one of them is certain to be right. The one who is right gets first pick next year...


19 posted on 04/09/2008 9:01:25 AM PDT by gridlock (Proud McCain Supporter since February 8, 2008.)
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To: Sub-Driver

Oh, Daddy, let it be true. Let there be 20.
20 posted on 04/09/2008 9:06:24 AM PDT by LibWhacker
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