I go back and forth about whether I think McCain’s got a snowball’s chance in hell or not. Under normal circumstances, the answer would have to be not, but the Dems have a mess on their hands, and, for the first time in history a non-white or non-male candidate, which is going to have an effect in ways nobody can foresee. So sometimes I think there’s no way he’ll win, and other times I think he’s a shoe-in. If he does win, it won’t be because of him or his campaign, it will be because the hapless Dems were so completely inept that they handed him the Presidency.
You are exactly right. He might just win in spite of himself and the horrible GOP leadership, only because the Democrats imploded. McCain has done more to drive conservatives and Christians away from the party than to attract them. If that is what they wanted, they got it. Wait until a new Conservative Party emerges in the near future.