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To: Renfield
Without exception, the Wisconsin pattern (little interracial contact) and the Ohio pattern (much more such contact) have correlated with identically opposite results throughout the Clinton/Obama battles: every state outside the South where Obama carried the white vote and won the primary or caucus was one with a small to negligible black population (Wyoming, Vermont, Wisconsin, Maine, Washington, Nebraska, Minnesota, Kansas, Utah, North Dakota, Idaho, Alaska and Iowa); in every state where a substantial and widely dispersed black population regularly interacts with whites, Obama lost the white vote and lost the primary: Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island, California, New Jersey, and Massachusetts. I have omitted the candidates' home states (New York for Clinton, Illinois and Hawaii for Obama). Pennsylvania, where Clinton has a commanding lead, will follow the Ohio pattern, as will Florida and Michigan in the increasingly unlikely event of do overs.

Maryland seems to be an exception here, IIRC Obama did well w/White Marylanders and most Whites in Maryland interact with Blacks daily.

69 posted on 03/21/2008 7:35:56 AM PDT by RockinRight (Supreme Court Justice Fred Thompson. The next best place for Fred.)
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To: RockinRight
Maryland seems to be an exception here, IIRC Obama did well w/White Marylanders and most Whites in Maryland interact with Blacks daily.

Maryland, home of the apparatchiks


85 posted on 03/22/2008 1:23:39 PM PDT by Rome2000 (Peace is not an option)
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