He has the OJ Simpson crowd vote already in the bag. That means he only has to sweet talk his way to a win with the rest of the "middle" and left.
But yes, you are correct in saying there is something wrong if he succeeds. The same thing happened in 1992 with "Change" Clinton.
No 1992 was an aberration thanks to that rabbit eared Texan that got into the race and stole votes from Bush. BUsh should have won.