[Alter Kaker]

That map seems to assume an Obama candidacy, as it gives the Dems states that would seem to favor Obama (e.g. Virginia, Colorado) rather than states that would seem to favor Clinton (Florida, Arkansas, Nevada).

[Norman Bates]

Actually Obama’s stronger in Nevada than Clinton (whose fav. rating there is high 30s). At this point Obama has a small edge over McCain there but I don’t expect it to last.