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To: jveritas

Blacks probably make up nearly 50% of the Democratic vote.


12 posted on 02/28/2008 6:52:12 PM PST by Always Right (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: Always Right

And that highlights the problem even if Blacks turnout in high numbers, they are only 13% of the total US population, Che Obama cannot win with those numbers.


34 posted on 02/28/2008 6:58:34 PM PST by padre35 (Conservative in Exile/ Isaiah 3.3/Cry havoc and let slip the RINOS)
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To: Always Right
Blacks probably make up nearly 50% of the Democratic vote.

Being 12% of the US population and assuming that they turn out at a rate of 50% in a general election, I don't think black voters are nearly as influential as the MSM would have us believe.

68 posted on 02/28/2008 7:11:08 PM PST by buccaneer81 (Bob Taft has soiled the family name for the next century.)
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To: Always Right

>>Blacks probably make up nearly 50% of the Democratic vote.

Let’s run some rough numbers.

Blacks are around 13% of the U.S. population. They vote overwhelmingly Democrat. Let’s say 95%.

Democrats are about 33% of the population (Republicans are about 29% and Independents are the balance).

If you do the math at 95%, that would make blacks 37% of the Dem primary electorate. This is probably not an unreasonable number for many states, and may even be low for states with large black populations and open primaries.

Even if you assume only 50% of blacks bothered to register Dem, this would make them 20% of the Dem primary electorate.

It’s not 50%, but it’s certainly a significant number.


70 posted on 02/28/2008 7:13:00 PM PST by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: Always Right

Not remotely close.


208 posted on 02/28/2008 9:03:50 PM PST by Grunthor (McCain voters believe that it's possible to pick up a turd by the clean end.)
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To: Always Right

That would be interesting considering I don’t believe blacks make up 25% of the population.


334 posted on 02/29/2008 8:11:09 AM PST by Almondjoy
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