Posted on 02/15/2008 9:00:55 PM PST by Kurt Evans
On behalf of the Texas Credit Union League, Public Opinion Strategies and Hamilton Campaigns conducted two Texas statewide surveys...
• Senator McCain garners 45% of the Republican primary vote while Governor Huckabee shores up support from 41% of the primary electorate, making this race a statistical tie within the margin of error. Texas Congressman Ron Paul claims 6% of the vote and 5% say they are undecided.
• McCain’s image is 75% favorable, 22% unfavorable, while Huckabee’s is 75% favorable, 15% unfavorable. Huckabee has a 36% strong favorable rating compared to McCain’s 29%.
• McCain leads 49% to 36% among voters planning on voting early while the candidates are tied within margin of error (42% McCain, 45% Huckabee) among those who are waiting to vote on Election Day.
• McCain’s ballot support comes mostly from moderate Republicans, women, and independents while Huckabee appeals to men, strong conservatives, and frequent church-goers. Strength groups for each candidate include:
McCain
Total (45%)
Moderate/Liberal (73%)
White women age 45-54 (62%)
White soft Republican women (61%)
White women w/degree (54%)
Soft Republicans (51%)
Independents (51%)
Somewhat conservative (50%)
Age 65+ (50%)
Huckabee
Total (41%)
White men w/o degree (59%)
Very conservative & strong GOP (57%)
Religious conservatives (54%)
Conservative white men (54%)
White frequent church-goers (51%)
Conservatives (49%)
White men age 55+ (48%)
Strong Republicans (47%)
• Regionally, McCain’s support is concentrated in the South (60%), the central part of the state (53%), and the Dallas Fort-Worth region (48%); while Huckabee draws supporters from the Eastern (54%) and Western (53%) regions.
• Huckabee voters are clear about their reason for supporting the candidate -- almost two-thirds (64%) say the reason is because he shares their values. Meanwhile, McCain voters almost evenly divide their reason for support among the candidate having the right experience (19%), having the best chance to win in November (18%), sharing their values (17%), and being best able to deal with terrorism and the war in Iraq (17%).
• Importantly, among voters who say the most important issue facing the nation is terrorism and national security, McCain – who has made this issue a core part of his platform -- is losing to Huckabee 50% to 39%. Huckabee also wins 55% to 27% among voters who rank illegal immigration as their number one priority, while McCain wins 61% to 28% among those most concerned with the economy and jobs.
Dallas Business Journal story on this poll:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1971095/posts
Updated delegate math:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1970745/posts
McCain’s “conservative” record:
http://youtube.com/watch?v=zfq9DPuMX1A
Candidate comparison:
http://f2a.org/coast2coast/ValuesVoter08Comparison.pdf
You can also look over their records and what they have said on issues - then compare on the site - On the Issues:
http://www.ontheissues.org/Mike_Huckabee.htm
http://www.ontheissues.org/John_McCain.htm
http://www.ontheissues.org/Hillary_Clinton.htm
http://www.ontheissues.org/Barack_Obama.htm
Living in Texas I have NEVER voted Demo’Rat..... since Hildie said, “Bush is all hat and no cattle” I say Queenie is “ pointed hat and all cankle” ! Just might have to vote for “the O-messiah” to stick it to her if I can cross over vote here.
My whole Texas family is doing just that.
“Huckabee has a 36% strong favorable rating compared to McCain’s 29%.”
Crossover voting will probably weaken turnout for McCain more than for Governor Huckabee.
Ping!
This is great news. Once Huckabee starts campaigning there, as in other states he sets foot, in his numbers will rise. I have many relatives in Texas who are looking forward to voting for him. They are Roman Catholics, not evangelicals.
The nomination is over. John McCain will be our nominee.
Exactly. Huckabee is only prolonging the obvious conclusion. The longer he stays in the race and pesters John McCain the more likely his VP chances go up in smoke.
What a stupid comment.
Another stupid comment. So many states have not voted yet.
Tell me why this is other than votes dont count.
Huckabee cannot win. Period.
He already has.What are you talking about.?
Are we talking about the same Mike Huckabee who is down hundreds and hundreds of delegates from John McCain?
We are talking about Mike.The one candidate who is neither a coward and neither a flip flopper to which will finish this race with honor.
Just might have to vote for “the O-messiah” to stick it to her if I can cross over vote here.
You have never witnessed Obama then. Nobody with conservative values would vote for Obama under any circumstances. You are really risking having Obama win the Presidency if you do this. I would think twice before adding fire to Obama Mania...you must not know the following he has.
My whole Texas family is doing just that.
Why? You want Obama as President of the United States????? Do you have one ounce of conservative value in you? You must love socialists. Your family must not be too smart.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-2rjrpumhU&NR=1
Pundits really are pathetic.Good luck
I love the fact this is a Union poll.
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