Posted on 02/11/2008 6:58:26 PM PST by seanmerc
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national appeal and demonstrates Hillary's inability to win in states without large immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama, will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary has only 1131.By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100 delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas. (Although in Texas' open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama, including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don't bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But, given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
Remember that Morris has a 99.84 % failure rate, before you start sending up any balloons.
“Didn’t he say Hillary would win the whole enchilada just a few months ago? “
Yes, and he said Rudy was our inevitable, the only one who could beat her.
Quick, call the bookie and put it all on the Evil clintoon Machine!!!!
Well, there goes any hope Obama had of winning.
He looked in to his Crystal ball and pulled out the obvious.
Even Democratic men hate Hillary, she will not win, without shinanigans.
Remember Morris’s foresight filled book, “Hillary vs. Condi”?
The jokes on her and only she is crying!
Good graphic Phil
He licks a toe, sticks it into the wind, and makes his predictions.
if you predict every possibility, and Morris does, you have a chance of being right........
I think that is a keen observation..
How prescient! He waits till Obama takes the lead, after a slam-dunk weekend of caucus wins, and - calling upon his years of experience - predicts an Obama victory.
Isn't analysis largely about predicting future results. If not, what good is it?.
Let them eat their own. So far I haven't seen Obama blink or turn evil
towards Hillary or anyone else. Obama is easily beatable for reasons
of my own opinions.
The Clinton’s are experiencing the ultimate kiss of death in Liberaldom - they are now officially regarded as Yesterday’s News. That’s why she’s crying. This was her best shot - her only shot - and it’s slipping away.
Morris is so full of $hit!
Oh man, this is the guy that has made so many incorrect predictions. He predicted Romney would win Florida, etc, etc. What if Hillary convinces the DNC to seat her delegates for her ‘victories’ in Michigan and Florida?
I wish I could be wrong most of the time and make as much money as Dick Morris.
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